Will Israel agree to the Board of Peace Gaza plan in 2026?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAMedio Oriente2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.7%
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11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
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Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
8 ago 26, 04:13 UTC5 gen 27, 23:59 UTC
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On July 30, 2026, the Board of Peace announced "A Roadmap for Completing the Implementation of President Trump's Comprehensive Peace Plan in Gaza" (the "Board of Peace roadmap"), setting out a phased process for disarmament in and Israeli withdrawal from the Gaza Strip.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces that it has accepted or does accept this roadmap by December 31 11:59 PM, 2026.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Israel's acceptance of a plan described by a consensus of credible reporting as a revised or successor agreement to the initial roadmap (e.g., the implementation mechanism described in the roadmap) will qualify.
- A qualifying announcement must be a declarative statement of Israel's acceptance of or commitment to this roadmap or a qualifying successor agreement.
- A qualifying announcement must clearly and unambiguously identify the Board of Peace roadmap or a successor agreement.
