[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
One-OffMiddle EastGeopolitica3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 90.2%
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47
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Aggiornato 40 minuti fa
6 gen 26, 23:28 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Saudi Arabia and Israel announce the establishment of official diplomatic relations before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsIsrael and Saudi Arabia establish diplomatic relations before Israel's elections?
Manifold MarketsUAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
PolymarketUAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026?
PolymarketWill Algeria and Morocco reestablish diplomatic relations in 2026?
FutuurWill Mexico and _____ resume diplomatic relations in 2026?
FutuurRegole
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41087)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description: This question will resolve as Yes if both Israel and Saudi Arabia announce that they have reached an agreement to normalise relations before January 1, 2027, even if that agreement is conditional.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETIsrael closes its airspace by which date?
- September 30+18.3pt100%
- May 8-1.4pt0%
- May 31-1.2pt0%
+16 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 719,6K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-0.6pt47.5%
- October 31-1.0pt28.7%
- September 30-2.0pt13.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Gadi Eizenkot+3.4pt55.7%
- Benjamin Netanyahu-3.0pt27.8%
- Naftali Bennett8.3%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+3.0pt80%
- September 18+2.0pt75%
- September 11+12.0pt71%
+2 altri esiti
POLYMARKETStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
- No+0.3pt98%
- Yes-0.3pt2%
- Volume totale
- 6,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 97,8K €
KALSHIWhen will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Before Jan 1, 2029-2.0pt69%
- Before Jul 1, 2028-1.0pt67%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-1.0pt64%
+11 altri esiti
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Netanyahu out by which date?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per [ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve [ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026??
- [ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato [ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/41087)