Previsione della comunità attuale
Other 13%In testa tra 38 esiti
Previsori
16
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto9 feb 23, 16:47 UTC2 gen 30, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will the next person be to land on the moon?
Manifold MarketsWill Blue Origin land on the moon before SpaceX?
KalshiWill China land men on the moon before the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX land on the MOON by Dec 31st 2029?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
KalshiRegole
Resolves to the next person who steps foot on the moon.
- If there is a group that all step foot at the same time I will resolve to multiple.
- If there is a dispute I will resolve based on the spirit of the market, or maybe N/A if needed.
Mercati aperti
Space
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic+1.0pt89%
- OpenAI-2.2pt9%
- Google2%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 103,1K €
LIMITLESSSpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- No56.5%
- Yes43.5%
- Volume totale
- 57,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 57,4K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028-2.0pt63%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt51%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
+8 altri esiti
KALSHIHow many launches will SpaceX have in September?
- Above 8-6.0pt84%
- Above 9-21.0pt52%
- Above 10-4.0pt18%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by which date?
- 202767%
- June 30, 202753%
- 2026+1.3pt6%
- Volume totale
- 817,9K €
- Which company has the best AI model end of October?
- Which company has the best AI Agent end of September?
- Third-best AI Lab end of September?
- Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by which date?
- Will a new interstellar visitor be confirmed before 2027?
- Third-best AI Lab end of October?
- Which company has #1 AI model end of September? (Style Control On)
- AI data center in space by which date?
- Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be the next person to land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 13% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be the next person to land on the moon??
- Who will be the next person to land on the moon? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be the next person to land on the moon??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves to the next person who steps foot on the moon.