Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 1 lug 2026, 01:13 UTC · criterio pm-quality-2
Previsione della comunità attualeClarence Thomas 22.8%-0.3%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
49
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 25 giorni fa
Obsoleto22 lug 23, 13:071 gen 27, 5:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Clarence Thomas23%
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Out of all the current justices on the Supreme Court, who will be the first to stop serving for any reason? This could be due to death, resignation/retirement, impeachment, term limits being imposed, incapacitation, or any other reason.
- The justices are listed here in order of seniority.
- I will extend the closure date if no one has left the bench yet.