Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
PoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsElezione3m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 79.9%
Previsori
28
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto31 lug 24, 02:04 UTC1 gen 27, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.
- The current conservative justices are John Roberts, Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, Neil Gorsuch, Brett Kavanaugh, and Amy Coney Barrett.
- Resolves NO if the next justice to leave is not one of these conservative justices.
- The question will resolve once the next justice officially vacates their post.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 80% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative??
- Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if the next justice to leave the US Supreme Court for any reason (i.e., death, retirement, impeachment) is a conservative.