Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 90.5%
Previsori
35
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo24 dic 24, 04:50 UTC3 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will a sitting US Supreme Court justice resign or die in office before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the next justice to leave the Supreme Court be a conservative?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?
PolymarketWill any Supreme Court Justice be charged with a federal crime?
KalshiWill a Supreme Court Justice die, retire or be replaced for any reason by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsAlexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026?
FutuurRegole
Resolves if any justice on the Supreme Court as of 12/23/24 is not on the Supreme Court as of 1/1/2027.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 695,7K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-2.4pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.3%
- September 30-4.0pt12.1%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+9.8pt96%
- $25M+15.5pt94%
- $50M+31.5pt86%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party84.2%
- Republican Party15.8%
- Volume totale
- 24,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 294,7K €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.7%
- Marco Rubio20.4%
- Ron DeSantis3.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 291,3K €
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Trump renames New Mexico to New America by which date?
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 91% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027??
- Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will any sitting Supreme Court justice leave before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves if any justice on the Supreme Court as of 12/23/24 is not on the Supreme Court as of 1/1/2027.