If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
One-OffPolitica USAPoliticaElezione2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.4%
Previsori
158
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
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Aggiornato 44 minuti fa
10 mar 24, 00:19 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027.
- Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.
- If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A. May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements.
- See here for the market on if Biden wins:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)