If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027?
One-OffUS PoliticsPoliticaElezione3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.8%
Previsori
156
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto10 mar 24, 00:19 UTC1 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which SCOTUS justice will be the first to leave the bench?
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PolymarketPresidential Election Winner 2028
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PolymarketRegole
This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027.
- Only a justice who is confirmed by the Senate counts.
- If Donald Trump is not re-elected, this market resolves N/A. May differ from the same Biden conditional market due to different probabilities of also controlling the Senate and strategically timed retirements.
- See here for the market on if Biden wins:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ManifoldPolitics/if-harris-wins-will-she-appoint-ano)
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027??
- If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato If Trump wins, will he appoint another SCOTUS Justice before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market resolves yes if Donald Trump appoints a Supreme Court Justice between his inauguration and January 1st, 2027.