Previsione della comunità attuale
Energy density (400 Wh/kg) 92%In testa tra 13 esiti
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto22 mar 26, 19:06 UTC31 dic 27, 20:03 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on which of Donut Lab's promised metrics fail to be independently verified or delivered in real-world conditions by the end of 2026.
- Resolution will be determined by:
- Independent pack-level energy density measurements and cycle life data beyond cell-level thermal tests
- Real-world performance data from Verge Motorcycles deliveries and independent teardowns
- Third-party testing reports (prioritizing VTT Technical Research Centre and equivalent institutions)
Mercati aperti
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- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
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- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
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- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
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- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
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- 1480+-1.0pt66%
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- 1500+-1.0pt30%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.?
- Manifold Markets quota Energy density (400 Wh/kg) al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.?
- Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on. dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Which promised metric will donut battery fail to deliver on.?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria