Will commercial fusion plants deliver grid electricity from seawater deuterium by EOY 2035?
MeteoOne-Off9a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 75%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto22 feb 26, 21:53 UTC31 dic 35, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Australia no longer burn fossil fuels for grid electricity?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK’s National Grid be carbon neutral by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Helion deploy a commercial fusion reactor before 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill the first commercial fusion reactor use inertial confinement fusion? (And not magnetic confinement fusion)
Manifold MarketsWhere will it rain on Oct 29, 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 29, 2026?
KalshiRegole
Will we have abundant clean energy from seawater-fusion power plants on the grid by EOY 2035?
- Credible sources (CFS/DOE announcements, Bloomberg/Reuters, independent audits, or major scientific reports) confirm at least one fusion plant is grid-connected and has supplied net electricity commercially by Dec 31, 2035.
- Abundant clean energy” is demonstrated by the plant operating at meaningful commercial scale (>50 MW) and showing the clear path to dramatically lower energy costs.