Which party will win the popular vote in Texas in the 2028 presidential election?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeRepublican Party 68.1%In testa tra 3 esiti
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-20.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto6 nov 26, 00:57 UTC8 nov 28, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in Texas in the November 7, 2028 election, per Texas's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how Texas awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
- N/A if Texas holds no popular vote for President.