Which party will win the popular vote in New Mexico in the 2028 presidential election?
13.6 pt (24h)PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneAmerica Latina2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeDemocratic Party 91.2%+13.6ptIn testa tra 3 esiti
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2
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Variazione 7g
+13.6 pts
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Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
6 nov 26, 00:54 UTC8 nov 28, 12:00 UTC
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KalshiThird-party share of the 2028 presidential popular vote?
KalshiRegole
Resolves to the party of the presidential ticket with the most votes in New Mexico in the November 7, 2028 election, per New Mexico's certified result.
- Only the vote count matters: how New Mexico awards its electoral votes, including under a national popular vote compact, doesn't.
- Only the party matters: a ticket on the Democratic or Republican line counts as that party even if also listed on other parties' lines.
- Any other ticket resolves to Other, or to its own answer if one has been added.
- Resolves on the certified result, or earlier once the AP has called it and no recount could change it.
- N/A if New Mexico holds no popular vote for President.
