Previsione della comunità attuale
Labour 41.3%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
56
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-0.4 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
5 mag 25, 00:18 UTC2 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?
KalshiWhich party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from on January 1st 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat party will the Prime Minister of the UK be from at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsParty of Next Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketWho will be the next Prime Minister of the UK?
KalshiRegole
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-33.7pt51%
- Delcy Rodríguez+29.5pt42%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume totale
- 29,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 621,6K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 19,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 488,8K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59%
- D-House, R-Senate+1.0pt30%
- Republicans sweep-1.3pt10%
+1 altri esiti
- 2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
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- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Next French Presidential Election
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from??
- Manifold Markets quota Labour al 41% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from??
- Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Dove altro è quotato Which party will the Prime Minister after the next UK general election be from??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Kalshi, Gemini.