Previsione della comunità attuale
Labour 43%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
55
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
5 mag 25, 0:182 gen 29, 7:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Labour43%
Confronta le piattaforme· Labour
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto85% di corrispondenza · verificato | Media | 37% | — | 66,8 € | 86,8K € | 9 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 43% | — | — | — | 9 minuti fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Which party will win the next UK general election?
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+5 altri esiti
52 • Qualità mediaSpread ampioAlta liquiditàAlta ambiguità
Volume totale211,8K €
Volume 24h66,8 €
KALSHIRegole
Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$3508 lug13g di dati27 lug
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Resolves at the party that the first prime minister elected after the next general election is from.
- Update 2026-03-04 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If a hung parliament results in no government being formed and a snap election is called without any government (including a minority government) forming in the meantime, the market will resolve based on the PM after that subsequent election.