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Dati al 8 set 2026, 20:25 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Kemi Badenoch 26%In testa tra 25 esiti
Qualità del mercato
26 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,4 €
Bassa liquiditàSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 minuti fa
20 ago 26, 01:00 UTC8 gen 35, 15:00 UTC
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Regole
If the named outcome formally holds the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Prime Minister's Office, 10 Downing Street
- The holder of the position at the time of Issuance is excluded.
- For the purposes of this Contract, only a subject who holds the position in a permanent, confirmed, elected, or otherwise non-acting and non-temporary capacity—as formally designated by the body or organization at which the position is held—is treated as formally holding the position; assumption of the role solely in an acting, interim, transitional, provisional, caretaker, pro tempore, or otherwise temporary capacity does not, by itself, satisfy the Payout Criterion.
- Andy Burnham is the holder at Issuance.
- A former holder who returns after Issuance is not disqualified solely on the basis of that prior service.
- If a person not listed here is first to formally hold the office after Issuance, every market resolves NO.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK??
- Kalshi quota Kemi Badenoch al 26% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK??
- Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK? dovrebbe risolversi il 8 gennaio 2035.
- Come viene liquidato Who will be the next Prime Minister of the UK??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome formally holds the position of Prime Minister of the United Kingdom before Jan 1, 2035, and is the first such subject to do so after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes.