How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

PoliticaOne-OffElezione Europe2a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

5 2%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Qualita del mercato

36 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

877,2 €

Liquidità

878,1 €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

7 lug 26, 18:458 gen 29, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

52%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

Trend del volume

$1.0k

7 lug2g di dati8 lug

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Will a Clacton by-election happen in 2026?

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MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which party will win the Clacton by-election?

2,7K €

Labour: 0.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,987.04+1.58%

EthereumETH$1,755.20+1.06%

SolanaSOL$78.07+1.15%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0727+1.84%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.42%

BNBBNB$572.28+1.89%

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Regole

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

How many people will serve as Prime Minister of the UK before 2029?

PoliticaOne-OffElezione Europe2a

KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativa

Probabilità implicita attuale

5 2%

In testa tra 6 esiti

Qualita del mercato

36 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

877,2 €

Liquidità

878,1 €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

2.0% / 3.0%

Spread

50.0%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

7 lug 26, 18:458 gen 29, 15:00

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria

Esito scelto

52%

Puntata (USDT)

Regole

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.

Trend del volume

$1.0k

7 lug2g di dati8 lug

Mercati Correlati

Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner

42,2K €

AfD: 80%

POLYMARKET

Clacton By-Election - Winner

11,6K €

Conservative: 0.01%

SMARKETS

Sachsen-Anhalt Parliamentary Election Winner

11,2K €

AfD: 98%

POLYMARKET

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

10,6K €

Andy Burnham: 99%

POLYMARKET

Will a Clacton by-election happen in 2026?

3,6K €

Sì: 96%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which party will win the Clacton by-election?

2,7K €

Labour: 0.2%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$62,987.04+1.58%

EthereumETH$1,755.20+1.06%

SolanaSOL$78.07+1.15%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0727+1.84%

XRPXRP$1.10+1.42%

BNBBNB$572.28+1.89%

Notizie Correlate

Last-minute MiCA approvals mark end of EU transition periodCointelegraph

Europe’s MiCA crypto regime is fully in force: Here’s who wins and losesThe Block

Democrats ramp up election-integrity push as Polymarket keeps Bardella at 25.5%Blockchain.News

Colorado Dem upset jolts 2028 chatter as Polymarket puts Newsom at 20.5%Blockchain.News

Why Poland is the only EU country where crypto firms can't get a MiCA licenseCoindesk

Colorado primary surprise as Polymarket keeps Maduro favored at 80%Blockchain.News

Regole

If the number of people who have served as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, excluding Keir Starmer, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2029 is exactly 1, then the market resolves to Yes.

"Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.