KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Exactly 1 82.7%In testa tra 3 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
3.5 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 minuti fa
9 dic 25, 15:00 UTC8 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Mike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:United States Congress
- "Served in the role" means that an individual has formally held the position in an official capacity, whether by appointment, election, succession, or acting designation, and performed the duties of that role for any length of time during the time period.
- If an individual serves multiple non-consecutive terms in the role, they will count once for each term (allowing an individual to be counted multiple times).
- If an individual holds the role temporarily in an "acting" or "interim" capacity for any amount of time, or is formally designated as such, they count as serving in the role.
- Dual officeholders count once per person even if holding multiple titles simultaneously.
- If an individual is appointed but never sworn in, or withdraws before assuming office, they do not count as serving.
Mercati aperti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Exactly 1 al 83% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026??
- How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 8 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many people will serve as Speaker of the House in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the number of people who have served as Speaker of the House during 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.