Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]
Middle EastGeopoliticaOne-Off14aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBolivia 100%In testa tra 32 esiti
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+61.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto30 ott 23, 19:37 UTC1 gen 41, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which countries will recognize Israel by December 31?
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KalshiRegole
Any number of these states can resolve Yes at any time between now and the end of 2040.
- All remaining will resolve No at that time.
- If recognition is granted and then later withdrawn, the Yes resolution will remain.
- In the last few years, multiple nations have normalized relations with Israel, such as Morocco, UAE, and Kosovo.
- Will this trend pick up again, or will the recent destruction in Palestine cause a long diplomatic winter?
- If any states break preexisting relations with Israel, they can be added by me.
Mercati aperti
Middle EastPOLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt64%
- October 31+5.0pt39%
- September 3010%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 26,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 234,9K €
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+1.0pt84.2%
- Yes-1.0pt15.8%
- Volume totale
- 59,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 230,8K €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 20+3.0pt100%
- September 25+5.0pt96%
- September 30+9.0pt90%
+3 altri esiti
POLYMARKETSaudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by which date?
- October 31+3.0pt76%
- September 3030%
- September 22-5.0pt1%
+1 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-1.5pt18%
- October 31-2.0pt11%
- September 30-1.7pt1%
+9 altri esiti
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return to normal?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Who will attend a round of US-Iran peace talks by December 31?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Iran leadership change by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]?
- Manifold Markets quota Bolivia al 100% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]?
- Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool] dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2041.
- Come viene liquidato Which of these countries will recognize the state of Israel by 2040? [Ṁ1500 Pool]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Any number of these states can resolve Yes at any time between now and the end of 2040.