Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeLanyue 43.9%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
30
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto20 giu 25, 02:51 UTC31 dic 30, 02:47 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhich space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀
Manifold MarketsWill China land humans on the Moon before the US returns astronauts to the lunar surface?
Manifold MarketsWho will land humans on the Moon first: SpaceX or Blue Origin?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will be the next to send humans to the Moon?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to the crewed lunar lander that successfully transports astronauts from lunar orbit to the Moon's surface, as confirmed by an official space agency or government announcement.
- the named outcome: Developed by SpaceX under NASA's Artemis program, the named outcome is slated for the Artemis III mission, aiming for the first crewed lunar landing since 1972.
- An uncrewed test flight is planned for 2025, with the crewed mission expected no earlier than mid-2027.
- (en.wikipedia.org)
- Blue Moon HLS: Blue Origin's Blue Moon lander is contracted for the Artemis V mission, targeting a crewed lunar landing.
