Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀
Tecnologia4a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
SpaceX 6.1%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 ore fa
Obsoleto7 gen 24, 21:06 UTC1 gen 31, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which crewed vehicle will be next to land humans on the Moon?
Manifold MarketsWill CNSA / China land humans on the moon by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsPrivate Companies - greatest valuation growth September 2026
PolymarketStarship launches humans to Mars before 2030?
KalshiWill Elon be able to send humans to Mars before 2050
Manifold MarketsSpaceX Starship manned flight to successfully land on the moon by the end of 2026?
FutuurRegole
The question will resolve as "YES" for each space agency or private company that successfully lands humans on Mars before the end of 2030.
- If multiple agencies or companies achieve this independently or through a collaboration, each will be resolved as "YES" individually.
- The successful landing is defined by a human crew safely reaching the surface of Mars and conducting at least one extravehicular activity (EVA) or surface operation.
- The resolution will be based on official announcements and confirmations from the respective agencies or credible space exploration authorities.
Mercati aperti
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,250 or above99%
- $75,000 or above99%
- $75,250 or above98%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 541,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 536,7K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 160-179+18.0pt37.1%
- 180-199+10.0pt36.2%
- 200-219-10.0pt12.4%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,000 or above99%
- $68,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+39.3pt96%
- 65-89-29.7pt4%
- <40-24.4pt0%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Before April 2027+3.0pt71.8%
- Before March 202717.3%
- Before February 2027-1.0pt6.4%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic89.9%
- OpenAI-1.5pt8.1%
- Google-0.1pt2%
+18 altri esiti
- Foldable iPhone Announced Price?
- Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by which date?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Highest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 9, 2026?
- Where will it rain on Sep 9, 2026?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Next James Bond actor?
- BNB price range on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀?
- Manifold Markets quota SpaceX al 6% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀?
- Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato Which space agencies or private companies will successfully land humans on Mars by 2030?🚀?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The question will resolve as "YES" for each space agency or private company that successfully lands humans on Mars before the end of 2030.