Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOther 49.6%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ott 23, 08:29 UTC1 ago 30, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
Manifold MarketsWill the congress of the U.S.A officially declare war on another country before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Charles III declare war during his reign ?
Manifold MarketsBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Not limited to formal declarations of war.
- Resolves yes if there's a congressional authorization of military force à la Vietnam, Iraq and Afghanistan.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31-5.0pt21%
- October 31-6.5pt14%
- September 30-4.7pt6%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 529,5K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt79.2%
- New People (NL)-0.6pt16.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt3%
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+4.0pt68%
- October 31+9.0pt46%
- September 30+3.0pt24%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETIran-Oman Hormuz Management Agreement by which date?
- October 31+7.5pt58%
- September 30+9.5pt44%
- September 21+14.0pt36%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No-1.0pt83.2%
- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Volume totale
- 56,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 192,9K €
POLYMARKETUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire begins by...? (2 week pause)
- September 30+6.0pt93%
- September 18+4.0pt88%
- September 7+11.5pt87%
+2 altri esiti
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2026
- Which leaders will leave office in 2026?
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Next round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which country will the U.S. declare war on next??
- Manifold Markets quota Other al 50% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which country will the U.S. declare war on next??
- Which country will the U.S. declare war on next? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 agosto 2030.
- Come viene liquidato Which country will the U.S. declare war on next??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Not limited to formal declarations of war.