Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
PoliticaGeopoliticaOne-OffUS PoliticsMiddle East3mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 93%
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto7 mar 26, 15:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill the congress of the U.S.A officially declare war on another country before the end of 2026?
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Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Congress formally declares war on Iran through a joint resolution, as specified in Article One, Section Eight of the Constitution.
- Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war since World War II, instead relying on authorizations for use of military force (AUMFs).
- For this market, only a formal declaration of war legislation explicitly using the phrase "declaration of war" counts as YES.
- An AUMF or military action without a formal declaration resolves NO.
- The market resolves by December 31,
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 12 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026?
- Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria