Will America declare war on Iran before the end of 2026
PoliticaGeopoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAMedio Oriente2m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 29 ott 2026, 13:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 69%
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto7 mar 26, 15:21 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by which date?
PolymarketWill the congress of the U.S.A officially declare war on another country before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsCivil War in Iran in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the war with Iran affect USD reserve currency status relative to yuan?
Manifold MarketsWhich country will the U.S. declare war on next?
Manifold MarketsUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- The market resolves YES if Congress formally declares war on Iran through a joint resolution, as specified in Article One, Section Eight of the Constitution.
- Congress has not issued a formal declaration of war since World War II, instead relying on authorizations for use of military force (AUMFs).
- For this market, only a formal declaration of war legislation explicitly using the phrase "declaration of war" counts as YES.
- An AUMF or military action without a formal declaration resolves NO.
- The market resolves by December 31,
