Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeIran 100%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 35 minuti fa
3 mar 26, 21:34 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the "Yap" Section of Manifold be renamed to? [ADD ANSWERS]
Manifold MarketsWhich team will win 2026 PUMaC division A? (Add answers!)
Manifold MarketsWho will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
PolymarketNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves based on trusted news sources.
- If unclear I will do my best to resolve fairly; I will not trade on this market.
- For the purposes of this market, only armed forces part of the country's government (at any level) in question count.
- For instance, Iranian proxies don't count unless the option in question includes such, but a local policeman killing a US soldier does.
Mercati aperti
GeopoliticsPOLYMARKETWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 59,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 473,5K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31+5.1pt68%
- October 31+5.0pt44%
- September 30+6.0pt16%
+17 altri esiti
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31+4.0pt33%
- October 31+5.0pt22%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 295,4K €
POLYMARKETTrump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- December 31+0.8pt99%
- September 25+0.9pt98%
- September 23+8.3pt95%
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 25+3.8pt98%
- September 30+6.0pt91%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 217,5K €
POLYMARKETNext round of US-Iran peace talks by which date?
- March 31, 2027+10.5pt73%
- December+21.0pt64%
- October+23.0pt53%
+9 altri esiti
- US-Iran nuclear deal?
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Where will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by which date?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which countries/entities will kill US soldiers in 2026? [Add Answers]?
- Manifold Markets quota Iran al 100% al 22 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which countries/entities will kill US soldiers in 2026? [Add Answers]?
- Which countries/entities will kill US soldiers in 2026? [Add Answers] dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Which countries/entities will kill US soldiers in 2026? [Add Answers]?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves based on trusted news sources.