Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
IAManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Google (99%)
Risolto: 1 dic 2025, 00:06
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeGoogle 99%In testa tra 9 esiti
Previsori
69
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 197 giorni fa
Obsoleto8 ago 25, 22:1730 nov 25, 23:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
OpenAI0%
xAI0%
Anthropic0.9%
Google99%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek0%
Moonshot AI0%
Other0%
99%
0.9%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of November 30th, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-5Ch5LQddE5)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-96p0nLU5A5)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-QcqLtdnQnN)@/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttoimage-SO0uN6suuS
- @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer@/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Feb 1, 2027+7.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt93%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-1.0pt92%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 255,6K €
GEMINIBTC price on August 21
- $72,500 or above97.5%
- $73,000 or above97%
- $73,500 or above97%
+36 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 143,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 130,5K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by __?
- December 31,+2.0pt89%
- October 31,+8.5pt82%
- October 15,-3.5pt50%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
- ↑$1.25T-0.9pt97%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba-1.0pt95%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.6pt68.6%
- Grok-2.1pt10.5%
- ChatGPT-2.8pt9.5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,8 Mln €
- Best AI this week
- Next Mythos-Class Model released by which date?
- OpenAI’s Astra released by which date?
- In which month will Anthropic IPO?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- BMW Championship Winner
- XRP price on August 21
- XRP price on August 31
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- BTC price on August 31
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)?
- Manifold Markets quota Google al 99% al 4 febbraio 2026.
- Quando si risolve Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)?
- Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard) dovrebbe risolversi il 30 novembre 2025.
- Come viene liquidato Which company has best AI model end of November 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of November 30th, 2025 11:59PM ET.