Which company has best AI model end of September 2025? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
IAManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Google (97.3%)
Risolto: 1 ott 2025, 11:11
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Previsione della comunità attualeGoogle 97.3%In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori
108
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 197 giorni fa
Obsoleto4 lug 25, 17:0130 set 25, 23:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
OpenAI0.1%
xAI0.2%
Anthropic1.3%
Google97.3%
Meta0%
Alibaba0%
DeepSeek1%
Other0%
97.3%
1.3%
1%
0.2%
0.1%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category, without style control or show deprecated, at the end of September 30th, 2025 11:59PM ET.
- In the case of a tie, all companies tied for 1st place resolve to equal probability, such that they sum to 100%.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-96p0nLU5A5)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-spP5uLOAQR)(https://manifold.markets/embed/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-model-end-QcqLtdnQnN)@/Bayesian/which-company-has-the-best-ai-model @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttoimage-SO0uN6suuS
- @/Bayesian/who-will-have-the-best-texttovideo-AtZ0CdIc8Z
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-ai-computer@/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-vision-ai-en
- @/Bayesian/which-company-has-best-search-ai-mo
