Quando si risolve Which AI Hardware Governance Scenarios Will Come True??

Which AI Hardware Governance Scenarios Will Come True? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2030.

Come viene liquidato Which AI Hardware Governance Scenarios Will Come True??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: More context for these scenarios is provided in this article on the Forecasting AI Futures blog.

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Previsione della comunità attuale

Commercially Available HEMs by 2030: Fully tamper-evident or tamper-proof AI hardware becomes commercially available before 2030 30.4%

In testa tra 5 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

0.0 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 12 ore fa

Obsoleto

6 feb 26, 13:52 UTC31 gen 30, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

More context for these scenarios is provided in this article on the Forecasting AI Futures blog.

I will not bet on this market.
Resolution Criteria
Each answer resolves YES if the specified governance scenario occurs by the stated deadline, and NO otherwise.
Several scenarios can come true, and I'll use my best judgement to resolve each one.
Location Verification for US Export Controls: Resolves YES if the US requires location verification for exported AI chips before 2028.