When will the US enact a universal basic income of at least $500/month per adult?
InflazioneOne-OffPolitica commercialePoliticaElezioneManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 19:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNot by the end of 2050 75.1%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto30 set 26, 00:07 UTC1 gen 51, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
Resolves to the calendar-year bucket (Eastern Time) in which the US enacts a federal universal basic income, as defined below.
- The buckets roughly follow presidential terms.
- If none is enacted by December 31, 2050, it resolves to "the named outcome".
- I'll resolve early as soon as a qualifying law is enacted.
- What counts.
- A federal statute that becomes law (signed by the President, passed over a veto, or enacted without signature) and creates or amends a cash payment program so that it meets all five conditions:
