Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNot before 2027 97.6%In testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
43
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 ore fa
Obsoleto16 ott 23, 07:49 UTC31 dic 26, 13:29 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Manifold reach 100k monthly active users before 2027?
Manifold MarketsManifold Monthly Active Traders at end of 2027
Manifold MarketsOmen/Presagio reaches 5,000 active traders or $25M in 30-day volume before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Claude surpass ChatGPT in monthly active users by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsMercadoLibre fintech monthly active users in Q3
KalshiLife360 monthly active users in Q3
KalshiRegole
other = before 2024
- Will look at the stat page.
- If it reads 100k, resolves to the relevant bucket.
- I don't plan on doing detective work if it's manipulated.
- Having said that, if a considerable amount of traffic is fraudulent (e.g., 20%) I will possibly delay resolution to make necessary adjustments for blatant-bulk-manipulation.
- I'm not excluding alts, 10 person bot farms, whatever
