Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 62.8%
Previsori
2
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto21 set 25, 12:51 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will Manifold reach 100,000 Monthly active traders?
Manifold MarketsManifold Monthly Active Traders at end of 2027
Manifold Markets[@mattyb’s 500th market spectacular] Will Bitcoin reach $500k before this market reaches 5k traders?
Manifold MarketsWill I reach 5k unique traders by EOY?
Manifold MarketsWhat price will Bitcoin hit in October?
PolymarketWhat price will Bitcoin hit October 19-25?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that before January 1st 2027 Omen/Presagio achieves any one of the following on Gnosis Chain:
- Users: In any rolling 30-day window, ≥ 5,000 unique wallets executed at least one filled buy/sell trade on an Omen/Presagio market and each such wallet had ≥ $100 USD-equivalent cumulative trading volume in that window; OR
- Volume: In any rolling 30-day window, total trading volume ≥ $25,000,000 USD-equivalent across Omen/Presagio markets.
- Scope & definitions
- “Omen/Presagio markets” means markets accessible via the official Omen and/or Presagio front-ends (or their clearly announced successors) that use the Gnosis Conditional Tokens + FPMM stack on Gnosis Chain.
- Testnets and unrelated forks are excluded.
