Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeThe shooter killed Charlie Kirk 100%In testa tra 179 esiti
Previsori
600
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto10 set 25, 22:03 UTC10 dic 26, 22:57 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What political positions did Charlie Kirk's shooter support?
Manifold MarketsWhich method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
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PolymarketRegole
Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.
- If any such accomplice exists, this answer will not resolve as true.
- Update 2025-10-18 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - A conviction or guilty plea in court would be sufficient evidence to resolve answers about the shooter's identity
- Direct evidence would be sufficient
- Circumstantial evidence or evidence described as "seemingly" implicating someone would not be sufficient to resolve
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter?
- Manifold Markets quota The shooter killed Charlie Kirk al 100% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter?
- What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter dovrebbe risolversi il 10 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Update 2025-09-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - If it's ambiguous whether the shooter is male, this market will resolve to N/A.