Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualePuberty blockers for minors with gender dysphoria 75%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
27
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto17 set 25, 06:06 UTC1 gen 27, 06:41 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What's true about Charlie Kirk's shooter
Manifold MarketsWill it be confirmed that the Charlie Kirk shooter played Helldivers 2 by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?
Manifold MarketsWhich method(s) will the police use to find Charlie Kirk's shooter?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
This market (https://manifold.markets/Marnix/what-was-the-political-lean-of-the) has a very active and spirited discussion of whether Kirk's murderer was on the left or the right in general.
- But, since he was described as having been "very political" in recent years, I have decided to make a market about his opinions on a number of specific issues which tend to divide the United States electorate.
- As of market creation, I would resolve most of these N/A! I will give disproportionate weight to statements made in the past year.
- I'm setting the close date as 12/31/25, but I will very likely adjust it to coincide with the end of his trial, because I would guess most of the relevant information will come out before then.
- Update 2025-12-29 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market close date has been updated to 12/31/26 (previously 12/31/25).
- The actual close will be adjusted to coincide with the end of the shooter's trial, as most relevant information is expected to come out during the trial proceedings.
