Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk??

Manifold Markets quota No al 97.6% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Will the US government declare a new holiday in memory of Charlie Kirk?

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No 97.6%

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Aggiornato 1 ora fa

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11 set 25, 17:08 UTC4 nov 26, 18:00 UTC

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This market resolves Yes if the US government declares an official day of remembrance of Charlie Kirk before the 2026 midterm elections.

The holiday must be an annual event, not a one-time ceremony, but it does not need to include time off from work.
If an existing holiday is rebranded to be about Charlie Kirk, that will also count for Yes.
A new holiday or rebrand that does not mention Charlie Kirk by name will need to explicitly mention him in its announcement as central to its theme and meaning.
State and local holidays will not count; only an act of congress or the Trump administration will suffice.
Feel free to ask clarifying questions in the comments.