Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualehas had a 6 month period with no public mention from Musk 99%In testa tra 10 esiti
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52
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
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Aggiornato 26 minuti fa
8 lug 25, 16:36 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Any of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins a seat in Congress in 2026
Manifold MarketsAny of Elon Musk's America Party's candidates wins 10%+ of vote for a Congressional seat in 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
I do not bet on my own markets.
- Resolves according to official or primary documents where possible.
- If official documents are not applicable, resolves according to media reporting.
- Note: this is by that date, options will resolve sooner when they are verified to have happened.
- AI garbage to disregard below this line:
- Update 2025-12-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): January 7th, 2025 has been tentatively set as a possible end date for tracking mentions of the "America Party" by Elon Musk (based on 6 months after his last known mention on July 7th, 2024), unless he mentions it again or a later mention is found.
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota has had a 6 month period with no public mention from Musk al 99% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026??
- What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato What will be true of Elon Musk’s “America Party” by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I do not bet on my own markets.