Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAcquired by Paramount 90.3%+54.6ptIn testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+54.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
17 dic 25, 13:40 UTC30 giu 27, 13:27 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
2027 Q2 means the end of the second quarter of 2027, aka approx 18 months from today.
- the named outcome means there is a purchase agreement in place but it is currently waiting for FCC or anti-trust lawsuits to go through.
- I asked ChatGPT what is the theoretical timeline once shareholders are onboard and he gives me:
- Optimistic (everything goes smoothly):
- ~9–12 months
- Base case (Second Request + remedies):
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 125,4K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 156,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 26,1K €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 altri esiti
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2??
- Manifold Markets quota Acquired by Paramount al 90% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2??
- What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2? dovrebbe risolversi il 30 giugno 2027.
- Come viene liquidato What will be the Warner Discovery situation by 2027 Q2??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: 2027 Q2 means the end of the second quarter of 2027, aka approx 18 months from today.