What will be the outcome of Annie Altman’s lawsuit against Sam Altman? (Altman v. Altman)
One-OffCriminalità e giustiziaManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Dismissal (70.9%)
Risolto: 20 ott 2026, 15:11
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Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 21 ott 2026, 04:35 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Judgment in favor of plaintiff7.5%
Judgment in favor of defendant20.6%
Dismissal70.9%
Other1.1%
Vinta
Persa
Persa
Persa
Mercati Correlati
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Manifold MarketsRegole
https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/QDczBduZorG4dxZiW/sam-altman-s-sister-annie-altman-claims-sam-has-severely https://x.com/sama/status/1876780763653263770
- https://www.courtlistener.com/docket/69520118/altman-v-altman/
- My understanding is that the three options I have added cover all possible outcomes; I will add more if and only if I learn that this is not the case.
