Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??

Manifold Markets quota Discovery of novel concept in mathematics al 73% al 21 settembre 2026.

Quando si risolve What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

12.7 pt (24h)One-OffIA3a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

In testa tra 5 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

-12.7 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 ore fa

Obsoleto

29 gen 25, 16:28 UTC1 gen 30, 22:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

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Regole

Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

Segnala un problema di dati su questo mercato

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

12.7 pt (24h)One-OffIA3a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Discovery of novel concept in mathematics 72.9%-12.7pt

In testa tra 5 esiti

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Variazione 7g

-12.7 pts

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 3 ore fa

Obsoleto

29 gen 25, 16:28 UTC1 gen 30, 22:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Mercati Correlati

Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Kalshi

Anthropic IPO by which date?

Polymarket

Next Claude Opus released by which date?

Polymarket

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

Kalshi

Best Chinese AI Company end of September?

Polymarket

Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2030?

Manifold Markets

Regole

Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

These answers must describe emergent behavior in AI/LLMs made public knowledge after January 1st 2025, which become topics of significant interest and debate (similar to the discussion over "move 37").
Inspired by this tweet from Karpathy:
[image]https://x.com/karpathy/status/1884336943321997800

Segnala un problema di dati su questo mercato

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??: Manifold Markets quota Discovery of novel concept in mathematics al 73% al 21 settembre 2026.
Quando si risolve What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??: What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
Come viene liquidato What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL??: Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves on January 1st 2030 to the set of answers which are analogous to "move 37" in the context of AI and/or LLMs trained using reinforcement learning.

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

What will be the new "move 37" for AI/LLMs trained with RL?

Domande frequenti

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