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  1. Mercati Predittivi
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  3. What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?
Manifold Markets

What will be the highest Epoch Capabilities Index score in 2026?

IA6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Manifold Markets
<155 1.5%
In testa tra 8 esiti
Previsori

36

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 2 minuti fa

16 gen 26, 20:501 gen 27, 4:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Esito scelto

<1552%

Regole

This market matches General Capabilities: Epoch Capabilities Index from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

Manifold Markets
  • See other manifold questions here
  • [image]Resolution criteria
  • Resolves to the highest ECI score reported by Epoch AI as of December 31, 2026.
  • If Epoch revises the ECI methodology, re-normalizes scores, or updates the benchmark set, the resolver will use the most recent official ECI scores as reported by Epoch at year-end.
  • If the scores change their meaning, the resolver may adjust them as deemed appropriate to be comparable to the current scores, or set this question's resolution to be ambiguous.

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Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

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Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,056.44+0.86%EthereumETH$1,679.28+0.69%SolanaSOL$67.85+1.39%DogecoinDOGE$0.0883+1.48%BNBBNB$607.89+0.22%XRPXRP$1.15+1.15%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

This market matches General Capabilities: Epoch Capabilities Index from the AI 2026 Forecasting Survey by AI Digest.

Manifold Markets
  • See other manifold questions here
  • [image]Resolution criteria
  • Resolves to the highest ECI score reported by Epoch AI as of December 31, 2026.
  • If Epoch revises the ECI methodology, re-normalizes scores, or updates the benchmark set, the resolver will use the most recent official ECI scores as reported by Epoch at year-end.
  • If the scores change their meaning, the resolver may adjust them as deemed appropriate to be comparable to the current scores, or set this question's resolution to be ambiguous.