Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 70.8%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto25 nov 24, 19:03 UTC31 dic 99, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsWill @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
KalshiWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
PolymarketWho will the next Pope be?
KalshiRegole
Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.
- For reference, this would be 31% as of 2024.
- Resolves NA if human civilization ends before then.
Mercati aperti
ReligionKALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No88%
- Yes-38.0pt12%
- Volume totale
- 10,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 9,5K €
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Volume totale
- 56,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 9,2K €
KALSHIWho will the next Pope be?
- Luis Antonio Tagle5%
- Pietro Parolin-0.8pt4%
- Matteo Zuppi4%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 118K €
- Volume 24h
- 4,3 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No-0.5pt90%
- Yes+0.5pt10%
- Volume totale
- 797,6 €
- Volume 24h
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Volume totale
- 674,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Volume totale
- 3,1 €
- Volume 24h
- —
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 71% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100??
- What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2099.
- Come viene liquidato What percentage of humans will follow Christianity in 2100??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves as a percentage according to the most official figure I can find.