Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Barristan Selmy 80.7%In testa tra 25 esiti
Barristan Selmy 80.7%Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto30 set 25, 01:37 UTC31 dic 29, 00:26 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Alecto the Ninth come out before The Winds of Winter?
Manifold MarketsWill "Winds of Winter" hit bookstores before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI write a widely read version of The Winds of Winter - GOT Book 6?
Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Vote yes/no on whether you believe these characters will die over the course of the story during "The Winds of Winter" (or whatever book 6 is called when released)
- Ambiguous/iffy deaths will probably be invalidated if not sufficiently clear whether the character has actually died.
- Characters abandoning a previous identity does not count as them dying (i.e. Alayne Stone, Varys the Spider, etc.)