Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
No 63.5%
No 63.5%Previsori
40
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Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto12 giu 24, 18:54 UTC2 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Alecto the Ninth come out before The Winds of Winter?
Manifold MarketsWill Winds of Winter (a song of ice and fire) be published before George R.R. Martin's death?
Manifold Markets"The Winds of Winter" character death market
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI write a widely read version of The Winds of Winter - GOT Book 6?
Manifold MarketsThe Winds of Winter: Release date announced this year?
KalshiWill George R. R. Martin announce "The Winds of Winter" in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
It will be resolved yes if the official publication launch date is before 2030, and if it is also actually being sold in at least some bookstores before 2030.