Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeClaude (Anthropic) 65.3%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-17.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto28 dic 25, 11:35 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will the next Muse model family be named?
Polymarketanother @subquadratic twitter announcement about SubQ model family, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWill SpaceXAI officially rename itself to SpaceXSI by which date?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve based on the official LMSYS chatbot arena leaderboard (Overall Category).
- Resolution Value: The market resolves to the Model Family that holds the #1 rank on the leaderboard as of December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT.
- If the leaderboard has a specific "last updated" timestamp, the update closest to (but not after) the deadline will be used.
- Definition of "Model Family":
- OpenAI: Includes all GPT-4, GPT-5, or subsequent models.
- Anthropic: Includes all Claude 3, 3.5, 4, or subsequent models.