Tangible evidence of senior Trump officials trading on insider tariff info before 2030?
Politica commercialeOne-OffPolitica USARegolamentazione3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 85.5%
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto9 apr 25, 21:57 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Resolution Criteria
- This market resolves YES if credible, tangible evidence emerges before January 1, 2030, showing that senior officials in the Trump administration traded securities based on non-public information about tariff policies.
- Evidence must come from reliable sources such as court documents, regulatory findings, credible investigative journalism, or official government investigations.
- The evidence must specifically demonstrate:
- The individual was a senior Trump administration official (or Trump)
- They traded securities (bought or sold)