Manifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 7 (99%)
Risolto: 29 set 2026, 22:02
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 30 set 2026, 11:32 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Cronologia delle Probabilità
40.1%
50.1%
60.1%
799%
80.5%
Other0.2%
Vinta
Persa
Persa
Persa
Persa
Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many Successful Starship Splashdowns before successful Starship Catch?
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PolymarketHow many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
PolymarketRegole
The minimum is 4 as i am counting flights 4, 5, 6 and 10 as successfully splashed down.
- Update 2025-11-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This is not a multiple resolution market - only one option can resolve YES.
- The market was temporarily resolved as 4 and then unresolved.
- Update 2026-05-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Flight 11 counts as a successful splashdown.
- Flight 12 appears successful but is pending confirmation from new video releases.
- If Flight 12 is confirmed, the total successful splashdowns would be 6.
