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  3. Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?
Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?

Which orbital booster will hold the reuse turnaround time record, as of EOY 2026?

TecnologiaOne-OffSpace6m
Manifold MarketsManifold MarketsSenza KYC
Previsione della comunità attuale
Falcon 9
Falcon 9 95.5%
In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori

14

Tipo di domanda

multiple choice

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 5 giorni fa

Obsoleto
19 gen 25, 17:341 gen 27, 6:59

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità
New Glenn
New Glenn
0.5%

Esito scelto

Falcon 996%

Regole

As of question writing, the record for reuse of a booster on orbital launch attempts is held by Falcon 9 booster B1080, and stands at 14 days.

Manifold Markets
  • It launched on 2024-11-11 and again on 2024-11-25.
  • What booster family will hold this record as of the end of 2026?
  • Launch attempts must be orbital or near-orbital (Starship test flights count as near-orbital).
  • As measured from launch to launch.
  • The second stage must be present but need not be successful.

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Regole

As of question writing, the record for reuse of a booster on orbital launch attempts is held by Falcon 9 booster B1080, and stands at 14 days.

Manifold Markets
  • It launched on 2024-11-11 and again on 2024-11-25.
  • What booster family will hold this record as of the end of 2026?
  • Launch attempts must be orbital or near-orbital (Starship test flights count as near-orbital).
  • As measured from launch to launch.
  • The second stage must be present but need not be successful.