Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 23 lug 2026, 04:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Previsione della comunità attualeJune 30th 36.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 giorni fa
Obsoleto26 mar 26, 7:1731 dic 26, 8:17
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
April 30th5%
Trend del volume
$2522 lug2g di dati23 lug
Mercati Correlati
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Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
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US-Iran nuclear deal?
47,1K €Before Aug 1, 2026: 0%
KALSHI
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What will Trump say during his meeting with Netanyahu?
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KALSHIWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
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MANIFOLD MARKETSAttivi in questi argomenti
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Resolves to https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730
- Based on the ratio of the 7 day moving average to the one from the year prior on the listed date.
- If the ratio is >1, resolves to 100%.
- On May 31st, let's say the 7 day moving average was reported to be 14 and the one from the year prior is 100.
- Then this option resolves to 14%.
- I will round to the nearest percentage point.