Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJune 30th 36.5%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto26 mar 26, 07:17 UTC31 dic 26, 08:17 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
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KalshiStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves to https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/cb5856222a5b4105adc6ee7e880a1730
- Based on the ratio of the 7 day moving average to the one from the year prior on the listed date.
- If the ratio is >1, resolves to 100%.
- On the named outcome, let's say the 7 day moving average was reported to be 14 and the one from the year prior is 100.
- Then this option resolves to 14%.
- I will round to the nearest percentage point.