Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2029 68.5%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
12
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto24 set 25, 16:43 UTC31 dic 30, 16:38 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
When will AI-rendered video games have 1 million paid users?
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PolymarketRegole
Each year is resolved to the percentage of goals below achieved by AI-rendered games:
- The game is winnable.
- The game must have any win condition - some kind of task that a player must complete to win.
- If the task is just walking to a goal - considered 50% achieved.
- The game has 10+ hours of gameplay.
- Requires (1), will be estimated based on casual playthrough videos and reporting.