What’s the least impressive thing you’re very sure AI still won’t be able to do before August 2027? [read description]
AzioniRegolamentazioneOne-OffIA9m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeGenerating labeled diagrams of some arbitrary device(s) (within reason) 100%In testa tra 36 esiti
Previsori
314
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+22.3 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto20 lug 25, 04:26 UTC20 lug 27, 04:15 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Gender of Bonnie Blues kid (Read description for more details)
Manifold MarketsWill the Nintendo Switch 2 be softmodded before 2035? [read description]
Manifold MarketsCoinflip of the century (experiment in prediction markets, read description)
Manifold MarketsWhen will AIs be good at solving complex problems? (read description)
Manifold MarketsOpenAI’s valuation end of November 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk Giving Shares to the Public (props)
Manifold MarketsRegole
OPTIONS RESOLVE YES IF THEY HAPPEN
- 1 option per person, but if you can credit the prediction about this question to a public person you can add it.
- Interpret the question the way you find most reasonable.
- You can explain your choice in the comments!
- IMPORTANT: the prediction must be realistically verifiable by me (can involve some searching or simple experiment), @Bayesian, in the event that you are not reachable at time of market close.
- I will N/A options where this is not the case.
