Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:00 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeHodge Conjecture 38.9%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
58
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+2.9 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto9 set 26, 11:25 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill *any* remaining Millenium Prize problem be solved entirely or mostly by humans?
Manifold MarketsWill an unsolved millenium prize problem be solved by AI by the end of 2028
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will be solved next?
KalshiRegole
Resolves to the next problem considered to be solved by the consensus of the mathematical community.
- The actual prize isn’t strictly necessary for resolution, but it should be the formulation of the problem eligible for the prize.
- If OpenAI’s claimed proof of Navier-Stokes is found to be flawed, that is ignored for the purposes of this market (i.e., it resolves to the next of these 5 listed problems to be considered solved, even if NS is “solved” in the future).