Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 91.7%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto6 gen 26, 16:49 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
NATO dissolves before 2027?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if NATO ceases to exist as an organization by December 31, 2027.
- Dissolution requires the formal termination of the North Atlantic Treaty or the effective end of NATO as a functioning alliance through the withdrawal of all or substantially all member states.
- For resolution purposes, NATO dissolves if:
- The North Atlantic Treaty is formally terminated or denounced by member states
- NATO's institutional structures cease to operate and the alliance is formally disbanded
Mercati aperti
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- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
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- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
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- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
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+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per NATO dissolves by 2028?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve NATO dissolves by 2028?
- NATO dissolves by 2028 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato NATO dissolves by 2028?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria