Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeBlue wave midterms 74.9%+11.1ptIn testa tra 24 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+11.1 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
21 gen 26, 02:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card predictions from his YouTube video "Our 2026 Bingo Cards" with JJ McCullough and Professor Dave Explains.
- Each answer represents one cell on his bingo card.
- Resolution: These markets will resolve as decided by Mr. Beat, should he post a timely update reviewing his predictions.
- If he fails to do so, or if his resolution is unclear, ambiguous, or incomplete, I (@evandaniel assisted by Claude) will do my best to resolve on his behalf.
- 🎬 Video: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=0DHSnDvyuJI 🎴 Bingo card viewer: https://evand.github.io/manifold-bingo-2026/card.html?id=mr-beat-2026
Mercati aperti
AI
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+1.2pt69.2%
- ChatGPT+1.6pt14.4%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.6%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 125,4K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+9.5pt74%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+61.1pt87.9%
- No release by September 30-10.7pt4%
- September 22-26.9pt1%
+13 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 156,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 26,1K €
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 altri esiti
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Manifold Markets quota Blue wave midterms al 75% al 21 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Mr. Beat's 2026 Bingo Card predictions from his YouTube video "Our 2026 Bingo Cards" with JJ McCullough and Professor Dave Explains.