![[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Fstorage.googleapis.com%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fcontract-images%2Fmirrorbot%2Fmtpdmzkgiq.jpg&w=128&q=80)
[Metaculus] If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, wil...l Tehran within one year?
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Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
10 lug 24, 18:57 UTC2 gen 31, 05:00 UTC
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If there is an American AUMF or declaration of war against Iran before 2030, will the US control Tehran within one year?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/25730/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if the United States controls the entirety of Tehran city's pre-war administrative boundaries according to credible sources within 365 days of a congressional declaration of war or Authorization for Use of Military Force (AUMF) by the United States going into effect.
- Territorial control will be determined based on reporting from credible war mappers.
- If there is no such declaration of war or AUMF before January 1, 2030, this question will be Annulled.
