[Metaculus] If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?
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Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:28 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
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Obsoleto7 ott 23, 13:16 UTC3 gen 35, 21:00 UTC
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If China invades Taiwan before 2035, will the United Kingdom respond with military forces?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- If China does not launch a full-scale invasion of Taiwan before January 1, 2035, then this question will resolve as Ambiguous.
- If China does invade Taiwan, this question will resolve as Yes if the United Kingdom responds with military forces within 365 days from of the beginning of the Chinese invasion.
- In line with our main question, China will be considered to have launched a full-scale invasion of Taiwan if either of these occur:
